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TransitShield

Transit Resilience · Climate Adaptation

Which stations fail first when the climate turns — and who gets stranded.

TransitShield scores every NYC subway station on climate-resilience risk — fusing service reliability, FEMA climate exposure, and the ridership at stake into one transparent index, so hardening dollars reach the stations whose failure would strand the most riders.

How the index works2025 ridership · scored July 18, 2026

Stations scored

424

subway station complexes

Annual ridership

1.30B

2025 subway trips

Highest-exposure borough

Queens

FEMA exposure 0.97

Critical-risk stations

85

of 424 · score ≥ 80

Station risk map

Each dot is a station — sized by annual ridership, colored by risk. Toggle between the composite risk score and raw climate exposure; hover any station for detail.

More resilientFails first
Critical risk85

Highest combined climate exposure, unreliability & ridership — first to strand riders. Prioritize.

High risk85

Elevated risk across exposure and service-reliability signals.

Moderate risk84

Above-median risk on one or more signals — monitor.

Lower risk170

Lower relative risk today — more resilient service or exposure.

Borough climate exposure

FEMA National Risk Index exposure score (0–1), higher = more exposed.

Queens
0.97
Brooklyn
0.94
Bronx
0.92
Manhattan
0.90
Staten Island
0.87

Exposure is borough-uniform (FEMA county resolution). Per-station hazard is a proposed enhancement — see Methodology.

Highest-risk stations

Highest climate-resilience-risk NYC subway stations with borough, risk tier, composite risk score, annual ridership, and climate exposure score.
StationRisk tierRiskAnnual ridersExposure
Astoria-Ditmars Blvd (N,W)QueensCritical100.03.6M0.97
30 Av (N,W)QueensCritical99.83.4M0.97
Broadway (N,W)QueensCritical99.53.0M0.97
Astoria Blvd (N,W)QueensCritical99.32.6M0.97
8 Av (N)BrooklynCritical99.03.0M0.94
36 Av (N,W)QueensCritical98.81.6M0.97
39 Av-Dutch Kills (N,W)QueensCritical98.6972K0.97
Bay Pkwy (N)BrooklynCritical98.31.6M0.94
Fort Hamilton Pkwy (N)BrooklynCritical98.11.6M0.94
Kings Hwy (N)BrooklynCritical97.91.4M0.94
18 Av (N)BrooklynCritical97.61.3M0.94
20 Av (N)BrooklynCritical97.41.0M0.94
Avenue U (N)BrooklynCritical97.2946K0.94
86 St (N)BrooklynCritical96.9580K0.94
Sutphin Blvd-Archer Av-JFK Airport (E,J,Z)QueensCritical96.77.3M0.97

What is computed vs. proposed

Every number here is computed from keyless public data — MTA ridership & incidents and the FEMA National Risk Index. This v1 index blends three signals: line-allocated station reliability, borough climate exposure, and log ridership. The full TransitShield vision adds origin-destination network outage propagation, per-station (not borough) hazard modeling, storm scenario simulator (e.g. Sandy-class surge) — labeled as planned enhancements, not shown here as results.